Posted by Meteorologist Beau Dodson
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A light wintry precipitation event is likely Thursday into Friday morning.
Our deadliest winter storms are light freezing drizzle/freezing rain events.
My biggest concern, for this event, will be trace amounts of ice on very cold roadways.
Temperatures Thursday may briefly approach or go above freezing, but surfaces will remain cold.
If ANY freezing rain or sleet develops, then roadways could become a skating rink quickly. Especially the less traveled roads.
There are two systems moving into the region.
A new arctic blast of air moves in from Canada tomorrow night into Friday.
Wind chill values Friday night will dip into the -5 to -20 degree range.
Temperatures will remain very cold through Saturday night.
That front will bring snow showers with 0 to 1″ of fresh snow.
A second system will move into the region from the southwest. That precipitation event will develop late tonight into Thursday morning. This will linger into Thursday evening.
It is possible that some counties receive little or no precipitation. Keep that in mind.
The biggest concern for light freezing rain and sleet will be from northeast Arkansas, the Missouri Bootheel, extreme southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee.
Snow chances will be higher across northern portions of southeast Missouri and then into southern Illinois. That will eventually track into western Kentucky, as well.
Monitor updates. For planning purposes, plan on icy roadways redeveloping tomorrow into Friday morning.
Let me show you a couple of graphics. This won’t be exact, but I wanted to give you an idea on placement.
Light snow totals of 0 to 1″ will be possible Thursday into Friday morning. The snow will approach the region from the northwest and move southeast.
Here is the Hrrr model. This is where it paints freezing rain and sleet. Again, this won’t be exact, but you get the general idea. That type of precipitation is more likely over our southern and eastern counties.
Focus isn’t on totals. Focus is on impacts. Any freezing rain or sleet could cause significant travel issues. Especially on untreated roadways or secondary roadways.
Want to receive more weather information? I provide a service through www.weathertalk.com
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