Posted by Meteorologist Beau Dodson
We are waking up to cold temperatures. Some counties have dipped into the 30s. These are record low temperatures.
We will warm into the eighties today. A 40+ plus degree temperature swing.
The big weather story is a developing hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico. This system can be seen on this morning’s satellite. It is moving north northeast. Its name will be Francine.
Over the coming days, this system will move into northeast Texas, Louisiana, and Mississippi. It will then track into our region Thursday, Friday, and Saturday. This will bring widespread soaking rain.
Some of the rain could be locally heavy. Exact rainfall totals will depend on the track of the center. For now, there is a wide cone in the forecast track (the center). Anywhere from central/western Missouri to central/eastern Kentucky.
Here is the National Hurricane Center’s forecast track.
Peak rain chances in our region will likely be Thursday night into Saturday. Locally, pockets of one to three inches of rain will be possible along the path of Francine. I can’t rule out higher totals, but it is too early for certainties. Monitor updates.
Here is the most up to date rainfall outlook. Adjustments in this are possible over the coming days.
I will also be monitoring the risk of tornadoes along the east/northeast side of the area of low pressure.
Landfalling tropical systems often times produce tornadoes. Especially along the eastern and northeastern side of the center. Usually, these tornadoes are short-lived and in the EF0 to EF2 strength range.
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